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  • Easy money

    After the SAG Awards Boyhood went from 1/6 odds to win best picture to 4/5 and Birdman went from 10/1 to 6/5.

    Birdman WILL NOT win best picture - bank on it!!! Boyhood will win this in a walk. It won all the major awards that are good predictors of Oscar success and the Richard Linkletter will take the DGA Award in 2 weeks. The "best ensemble cast" means squat but the books over reacted.

    The ensemble cast award was a way to reward Michael Keaton and Edward Norton for not winning their respective acting categories and also the popular director who won't win the best director award. Birdman was a mediocre movie at best and didn't even win the minor category at the Golden Globes (best comedy).

    I say by this time in 2 weeks Boyhood will be 1/3 or lower.

  • #2
    Hitman,

    As a senior member of the Syndicate, I think you are a sharp guy but betting this is the equivalent of betting WWE

    Result is essentially fixed and those huge odds swings are usually for a reason
    "you are one sharp son of a bitch" - Yzerman #19 (11/15/2005)

    Comment


    • #3
      Not true Buck and I always do well at the Oscars. Trust me this is as easy money as it comes.

      Take a look at Birdman's accolades. It won best film in Phoenix and St. Louis, 2 critics awards that mean nothing.

      List of accolades received by Birdman (film) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

      Now look at Boyhood

      List of accolades received by Boyhood (film) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

      If you look at the past 10 winners of this award you'll see that almost all of them won the same critics awards that Boyhood won.

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      • #4
        Saw both...loved Boyhood and think it will win. Birdman was good, Keaton will win best actor.

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        • #5
          someone tell me what's happening at pinnacle, I know these are small markets but they used to take much bigger pops. One 300 bet and the price moves 18 cents? where's the fun in double popping anything?
          "Elections are not decided by those who vote but by those who count the votes"

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Buck Swope View Post
            Hitman,

            As a senior member of the Syndicate, I think you are a sharp guy but betting this is the equivalent of betting WWE

            Result is essentially fixed and those huge odds swings are usually for a reason

            Sounds like Seattle winning SB with Birdman pulling off Best picture

            Comment


            • #7
              Who will win the Oscar? Here are the favorites - The Orange County Register

              Comment


              • #8
                Oscars 2015: Who will win (and who should win) - CNN.com

                Comment


                • #9
                  Damn I thought this thread was about the Rodney Dangerfield Movie.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Ben Zauzmer of Harvard picks Oscar winners based on statistics

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by dollarbill View Post
                      Sounds like Seattle winning SB with Birdman pulling off Best picture
                      Yeah, i don't get it (well i do) but Birdman sucked rocks!
                      no matter where you go, there you are ...
                      "And remember, no matter where you go, there you are." .—Confucius


                      Gyps


                      AL 29–11:Just Win Baby

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                      • #12
                        Code:
                        SUN 2/22	WILL BIRDMAN WIN BEST PICTURE?
                        Maximum Bet: 438.83 CAD
                        04:00 PM	Yes	  -203	
                         	        No	  +171

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          the following are already in the book by the looks of it:



                          Code:
                          	WILL PATRICIA ARQUETTE WIN BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
                          Maximum Bet: 175.53 CAD
                          04:00 PM	Yes	  -16001	
                                  	No	  +174



                          Code:
                          SUN 2/22	WILL JK SIMMONS WIN BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR?
                          Maximum Bet: 175.53 CAD
                          04:00 PM	Yes	  -5000	
                                  	No	  +1621



                          Code:
                          SUN 2/22	WILL JULIANNE MOORE WIN BEST ACTRESS?
                          Maximum Bet: 175.53 CAD
                          04:00 PM	Yes	  -6001	
                                   	No	  +804



                          Code:
                          SUN 2/22	WILL EDDIE REDMAYNE WIN BEST ACTOR?
                          Maximum Bet: 175.53 CAD
                          04:00 PM	Yes	  -387	
                                  	No	  +310

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            horse race going down to the wire:



                            Code:
                            SUN 2/22	WILL RICHARD LINKLATER WIN BEST DIRECTOR?
                            Maximum Bet: 438.83 CAD
                            04:00 PM	Yes	  +104
                                    	No	  -121
                            
                            
                            
                            SUN 2/22	WILL ALEJANDRO G. INARRITU WIN BEST DIRECTOR?
                            Maximum Bet: 438.83 CAD
                            04:00 PM	Yes	  -129
                             	        No	  +110

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              any chance Sherlock Holmes wins for acting?

                              Comment

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