After the SAG Awards Boyhood went from 1/6 odds to win best picture to 4/5 and Birdman went from 10/1 to 6/5.
Birdman WILL NOT win best picture - bank on it!!! Boyhood will win this in a walk. It won all the major awards that are good predictors of Oscar success and the Richard Linkletter will take the DGA Award in 2 weeks. The "best ensemble cast" means squat but the books over reacted.
The ensemble cast award was a way to reward Michael Keaton and Edward Norton for not winning their respective acting categories and also the popular director who won't win the best director award. Birdman was a mediocre movie at best and didn't even win the minor category at the Golden Globes (best comedy).
I say by this time in 2 weeks Boyhood will be 1/3 or lower.
Birdman WILL NOT win best picture - bank on it!!! Boyhood will win this in a walk. It won all the major awards that are good predictors of Oscar success and the Richard Linkletter will take the DGA Award in 2 weeks. The "best ensemble cast" means squat but the books over reacted.
The ensemble cast award was a way to reward Michael Keaton and Edward Norton for not winning their respective acting categories and also the popular director who won't win the best director award. Birdman was a mediocre movie at best and didn't even win the minor category at the Golden Globes (best comedy).
I say by this time in 2 weeks Boyhood will be 1/3 or lower.
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